Australian Dollar (AUD) Firms in Upbeat Trade
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trended broadly higher on Tuesday as the currency was underpinned by positive risk flows.
This upbeat mood was linked to hopes China will report a solid expansion in GDP in the second quarter.
Looking ahead, Australia’s latest CPI indicator could pull the ‘Aussie’ lower this afternoon as another drop in inflation last month may weaken Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate expectations.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Climbs amid Risk-Positive Mood
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) also benefitted from yesterday’s upbeat market mood, with the ‘Kiwi’ strengthening against the majority of its peers.
In the absence of any notable NZD data, any movement in the New Zealand Dollar is likely to remain tied to risk appetite, potentially strengthening the ‘Kiwi’ if sentiment remains upbeat.
Pound (GBP) Capped by Economic Concerns
Trade in the Pound (GBP) was mixed on Tuesday. The increasingly risk-sensitive currency was supported by the improving market mood.
However, ongoing fears the Bank of England (BoE) will hike the UK into a recession tempered Sterling’s upside potential.
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey will speak on a panel of his peers later today. Will Bailey be able to assuage recession fears?
Euro (EUR) Rallies on ECB Lagarde Comments
The Euro (EUR) was supported by comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde yesterday.
Lagarde struck a hawkish chord as she spoke at the start of the ECB’s annual Sintra Forum, telling delegates the bank must continue its tightening cycle.
If Lagarde echoes this commitment on a panel with the heads of some of the world’s other leading central banks, the Euro could extend these gains.
US Dollar (USD) Dented by PBoC Yuan Support
The US Dollar (USD) retreated on Tuesday, after the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) moved to strengthen the Yuan, with support from state banks, which sold their USD reserves in favour of the Chinese currency.
The USD selloff remained in place overnight, despite US durable goods orders printing above forecast in May.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the ECB panel will be in the spotlight for USD investors today. Will a more cautious tone regarding future interest rates pile more pressure on the US Dollar?
Canadian Dollar (CAD) Falls as Inflation Cools
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) stumbled overnight on Tuesday, following the release of Canada’s consumer price index. May’s CPI figures reported inflation cooled to a near two-year low, weakening Bank of Canada (BoC) rate hike bets.
Looking ahead, oil price dynamics may drive movement in the ‘Loonie’ today. Expect to see CAD drop if oil prices continue to fall.
Data Releases
Jun 28th 08:30 AUD Monthly CPI Indicator (May) 6.1%
Jun 28th 23:30 EUR ECB President Lagarde Speech
Jun 28th 23:30 GBP BoE Governor Bailey Speech
Jun 28th 23:30 USD Fed Chair Powell Speech